Best Blue Chip Stocks: 21 Hedge Fund Top Picks
Blue chip stocks dominate the list of hedge funds' most popular equity investments.
Blue chip stocks, thanks to their massive market capitalizations and deep liquidity, are a natural home for hedge funds and other large pools of institutional capital. And since hedge funds are the putative smart money, who wouldn't want to know which blue chip stocks they're chasing with their capital?
True, hedge funds collectively have a rather poor long-term track record vs the broader market. It should also go without saying that not all blue chip stocks are created equal.
Yet there's still something irresistible about knowing what hedge funds have been up to. And even if the industry tends to generate disappointing returns, you've got to give it credit when credit is due.
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Big-time investors are willing to pay up for complicated strategies and exposure to uncorrelated assets. So it's not necessarily possible to tell from the outside if a hedge fund is providing its clients with the performance they expect. It's also important to know that hedging strategies by definition limit upside when stocks are rising. That helps explain the industry's years of underperformance during the previous bull market.
By the same token, however, hedging strategies limit downside when everything is selling off. And goodness knows investors saw plenty of red on their screens in 2022.
"Despite the challenges from a bear market, hedge funds delivered resilient performance," notes Barclays Capital Solutions. "In a year when the MSCI World Index fell 18%, hedge funds captured only a fraction of the drawdown, thus offering the best downside protection since the dot-com bubble burst."
Blue chip stocks: timing is everything
It's been an entirely different story for equities since the new bull market took off. Equities are on fire – and hedge funds are back to their old underperforming ways.
The Eurekahedge Hedge Fund Index delivered a total return (price change plus dividends) of 5.8% for three months ended January 31. The S&P 500, by comparison, generated a total return of 16%.
So why are hedge funds lagging so badly? As noted above, hedging strategies can limit upside in rising markets. That doesn't let hedge funds off the hook entirely, however. A look at changes in their holdings can offer some insights too.
We won't know how hedge funds are dealing with the current market environment until they disclose their first-quarter buys and sells in mid-May. But we do know what they were up to in Q4 thanks to a recent batch of regulatory filings.
As usual, hedge funds were heavily invested in most of the market's biggest and bluest of blue chip stocks – particularly Dow Jones stocks. Indeed, 12 of the 21 names listed below are components of the blue-chip barometer.
That's partly a function of Dow stocks' massive market values and attendant liquidity, which, as noted, provide ample room for institutional investors to build or pare large stakes. Big-name blue chip stocks also carry lower levels of reputational risk for professional money managers. It's a lot easier to justify holding a large stake in a Dow stock than a no-name small cap if restive clients start grumbling about their returns.
Besides Dow stocks, hedge funds, as per usual, chased many of the market's hottest Q4 names. Probably the best example of this is the sudden appearance of Eli Lilly (LLY) on the list of hedge fund favorites in the third quarter of last year. LLY was back again in Q4, but this time hedge funds were net sellers. Shares in the pharmaceutical giant more than doubled over the past 52 weeks thanks to Zepbound, Lilly's obesity treatment with blockbuster potential.
Interestingly, Amazon.com (AMZN) was the top hedge fund stock that saw the greatest net change in share ownership – and for a second consecutive quarter at that. Amazon stock joins the Dow Jones Industrial Average at the end of February.
Hedge funds were also net sellers of some of the hottest Magnificent 7 stocks in Q4, lightening up their exposure to Microsoft (MSFT), Google parent Alphabet (GOOGL) and Facebook parent Meta Platforms (META).
But enough with the armchair quarterbacking. Have a look at the chart below to see hedge funds' 21 top blue chip stock picks as of the end of Q4.
Hedge funds' best blue chip stocks
Source: WhaleWisdom and the Securities and Exchange Commission.
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Dan Burrows is Kiplinger's senior investing writer, having joined the august publication full time in 2016.
A long-time financial journalist, Dan is a veteran of SmartMoney, MarketWatch, CBS MoneyWatch, InvestorPlace and DailyFinance. He has written for The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, Consumer Reports, Senior Executive and Boston magazine, and his stories have appeared in the New York Daily News, the San Jose Mercury News and Investor's Business Daily, among other publications. As a senior writer at AOL's DailyFinance, Dan reported market news from the floor of the New York Stock Exchange and hosted a weekly video segment on equities.
Once upon a time – before his days as a financial reporter and assistant financial editor at legendary fashion trade paper Women's Wear Daily – Dan worked for Spy magazine, scribbled away at Time Inc. and contributed to Maxim magazine back when lad mags were a thing. He's also written for Esquire magazine's Dubious Achievements Awards.
In his current role at Kiplinger, Dan writes about equities, fixed income, currencies, commodities, funds, macroeconomics, demographics, real estate, cost of living indexes and more.
Dan holds a bachelor's degree from Oberlin College and a master's degree from Columbia University.
Disclosure: Dan does not trade stocks or other securities. Rather, he dollar-cost averages into cheap funds and index funds and holds them forever in tax-advantaged accounts.
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